Goodfellow LLC Stock Portfolio Performance & Investment Strategy

 

Goodfellow LLC

Stock Portfolio Performance and Investment Strategy

December 30, 2016

                                                                                                                            

                                                        Portfolio*       S&P 500         DJIA

Growth Stocks for 2016                    +15.52%          +9.54%

01-01-16 through 12-30-16

This fixed portfolio held ten stocks: BorgWarner, D.R. Horton, Delta Air Lines, E*Trade, FedEx, Harman International Industries, Intercontinental Exchange, Intuit, Universal Electronics and Zions Bancorp.

  • Harman International Industries (HAR) agreed to be acquired by Samsung in November 2016.

Growth & Income Stocks for 2016    +12.46%                           +13.42%

01-01-16 through 12-30-16

This fixed portfolio held ten stocks: Boeing, Federated Investors, GameStop, General Motors, Legg Mason, M.D.C. Holdings, Morgan Stanley, Nucor, Robert Half International and Whirlpool.

 

Ten of the fifteen 2012-2016 Goodfellow LLC model portfolios

outperformed the market indexes by margins of 50-100% and more!

 

                                                         Portfolio*       S&P 500         DJIA

Growth Stocks for Second Half 2015   +6.40%           -0.93%       -1.11%

07-01-15 through 12-31-15

This fixed portfolio held nine stocks: Adobe Systems, Carnival, Celgene, CRH plc, D.R. Horton, M.D.C. Holdings, Molina Healthcare, Royal Caribbean Cruises and Walgreens Boots Alliance.

Growth Stocks for 2015                      +0.01%            -0.73%

01-01-15 through 12-31-15

This fixed portfolio held ten stocks: Adobe Systems, Boise Cascade, CBS, Celgene, D.R. Horton, Intercontinental Exchange, Spirit Airlines, Textron, Urban Outfitters and Vulcan Materials.

Growth & Income Stocks for 2015       -5.21%                               -2.23%

01-01-15 through 12-31-15

This fixed portfolio held eleven stocks: Agrium, Allegheny Technologies, Electrolux, Ingersoll-Rand, The Interpublic Group, Johnson Controls, Juniper Networks, Matson, Motorola Solutions, M&T Bank Corp. and PulteGroup.

 

Twelve of the fifteen 2012-2016 Goodfellow LLC model portfolios

outperformed the S&P 500 and/or the Dow Jones Industrial Average!

 

                                                          Portfolio*       S&P 500         DJIA

Growth & Income Stocks for 2014     +14.16%                              +7.52%

01-01-14 through 12-31-14

This fixed portfolio held eleven stocks:  Allegheny Technologies, Avery Dennison, Copa Holdings, Home Depot, Johnson Controls, Leggett & Platt, LyondellBasell Industries, Time Inc., Time Warner, Union Pacific and Whirlpool.

·        Union Pacific stock split two-for-one on June 6, 2014.

·        Time Warner spun off shares of Time Inc. to shareholders on June 6, 2014.

Growth Stocks for 2014                     +11.14%          +11.39%

01-01-14 through 12-31-14

This fixed portfolio held twelve stocks:  ASML Holding, Biogen Idec, Borg Warner, Celgene, Expedia, Harman International, Loews, Lowe’s, Michael Kors Holdings, Quanta Services,  Sotheby’s and State Street.

·        Celgene Corp. (CELG) stock split two-for-one on June 25, 2014.

 

                                                          Portfolio*       S&P 500            DJIA

Growth Stocks for 2013                     +41.29%           +29.60%

01-01-13 through 12-31-13

This fixed portfolio held eleven stocks:  Akamai Technologies, Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Allergan, Inc., Aon PLC, eBay, MasterCard, News Corp., Quanta Services, Starbucks, United Rentals, The Walt Disney Company and Twenty-First Century Fox.

  • None of the stocks in the portfolio lost value during the full-year period.
  • News Corp. split into two companies during 2013: News Corp. and Twenty-First Century Fox.

Growth & Income Stocks for 2013     +35.66%                              +26.50%

01-01-13 through 12-31-13

This fixed portfolio held twelve stocks:  Comcast, Fastenal Co., Home Depot, Honeywell, Invesco, Leggett & Platt, Macy*s, Motorola, Northern Trust, Time Warner, Union Pacific and V.F. Corp.

  • None of the stocks in the portfolio lost value during the full-year period.

Growth Stocks for Spring 2013         +28.17%          +16.82%      +12.67%

04-26-13 through 12-31-13

This fixed portfolio held nine stocks:  BlackRock, Cerner, The Cheesecake Factory, IAC/InterActive Corp., Loews, O’Reilly Automotive, Starbucks, V.F. Corp. and Whirlpool.

  • None of the stocks in the portfolio lost value during the full-year period.

Growth Stocks for August 2013        +19.16%          +11.87%      +10.49%

08-20-13 through 12-31-13

This fixed portfolio held eleven stocks:  Anadarko Petroleum, Avery Dennison, The Cheesecake Factory, eBay, FedEx, IAC/InterActive, LyondellBasell Industries, Priceline.com, UnderArmour, United Rentals and Whirlpool.

  • Only one of the stocks in the portfolio lost value through year-end.

                                                        Portfolio*       S&P 500            DJIA

Growth Stocks for 2012 Portfolio     +28.24%         +12.71%

12-23-11 through 12-31-12

This fixed portfolio held nine stocks:  Apple, CBS, Comcast, The Walt Disney Company, FedEx, Google, Harley-Davidson, Macy’s and Tenaris.

  • None of the stocks in the portfolio lost value during the full-year period.

Trading & Aggressive Growth 2012  +23.28%         +12.71%

12-23-11 through 12-31-12

This fixed portfolio held eight stocks:  CBS, Comcast, Cisco Systems, Harley-Davidson, Kroger, Macy’s, Schlumberger and Tenaris.

  • None of the stocks in the portfolio lost value during the full-year period.

Growth & Income Stocks for 2012   +10.35%                               +6.59%

12-23-11 through 12-31-12

This fixed portfolio held ten stocks:  Abbott Labs 3.43%, Air Products and Chemicals 2.70%, Kimberly Clark 3.80%, Kraft Foods 3.07% (later became Kraft Foods Group and Mondelez International), Kroger 1.88%, Lorillard 4.57%, Paychex 4.29%, Prudential 2.85%, UPS 2.83% and Verizon 5.00% (includes current dividend yield at portfolio inception).

  • Only one stock in the portfolio lost value during the six-month period.
  • Kraft Foods split into two companies during 2012: Kraft Foods Group and Mondelez International.

Second Half 2012                            +12.14%           +4.70%

06-29-12 through 12-31-12

This fixed portfolio held twenty stocks:  Abbott Laboratories, AbbVie, Ann Inc., Apple, Autodesk, CBS, Comcast, Dana Holding, eBay, FedEx, Home Depot, Honeywell, Intuit, Kraft Foods, Macy’s, Robert Half, Starbucks, Time Warner, Union Pacific and Visa.

  • Only one stock in the portfolio lost value during the six-month period.
  • AbbVie was spun off from Abbott Laboratories during 2012.

 

* All total returns include accumulated dividends.

Notes about the 2012 portfolios:

  • I started the 2012 portfolios during the last week of December 2011, because that week is typically bullish. After 2012, all the full-year portfolios begin with December 31st closing prices.
  • In 2012, there are several dividend stocks which appear in BOTH growth and growth & income portfolios. After 2012, there is no overlap between the full-year portfolios.

 

Goodfellow LLC Stock Selection Criteria

The goal of the Goodfellow LLC investment strategy is to outperform the DJIA and the S&P 500, while minimizing risk.  Thus, I employ a value stock strategy.

All stocks are screened via strict fundamental criteria, focused on current-year & future earnings per share growth, current year price/earnings ratio, current dividend yield, and long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio.  The stocks that pass the fundamental test are then screened for bullish charts.

All stocks are required to have analyst coverage, and must have a current trading range above $18 per share.  The model portfolios primarily contain American stocks, but international stocks are occasionally included in the portfolios.

These are unmanaged portfolios, designed to compete head-to-head with the unmanaged S&P 500 and DJIA stock market indices.

Please send questions and comments to research@goodfellowllc.com.

  

Crista Huff

President

Goodfellow LLC

 

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Neither Goodfellow LLC nor its employees are licensed investment advisors, tax advisors, nor attorneys. Consult with a licensed investment advisor and a tax advisor to determine the suitability of any investment.
The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. When information is provided herein from third parties — such as financial news outlets, financial websites, investment firms, or any other source of financial information – the reliability or completeness of such financial information cannot be guaranteed.
The information contained on this website is provided for informational purposes only and contains no investment advice or recommendations to buy or sell any specific securities. This is not an offer or solicitation for any particular trading strategy, or confirmation of any transaction. Statements made on the website are based on the authors’ opinions and based on information available at the time this page was published. The creators are not liable for any errors, omissions or misstatements. Any performance data quoted represents past performance and past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investments always have a degree of risk, including the potential risk of the loss of the investor’s entire principal. There is no guarantee against any loss.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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