Model Portfolio Results — Dec. 23, 2011 through February 3, 2012

2012 Model Portfolio Results:  Aggressive Growth 

As of 02/03/12, seven stocks are up and one stock is down.  The total portfolio* is up 9.79%, including dividends earned through 01/31/12.

Harley Davidson (HOG) shares are up the most at +17.66% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $39.19 to $46.11 per share.

Barron’s wrote a brief report on Harley Davison after earnings were reported recently.

Comcast (CMCSA) shares are up +13.88% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $23.84 to $27.15 per share.

From Standard & Poor’s Research on January 30, 2012: “S&P KEEPS BUY OPINION ON ‘A’ SHARES OF COMCAST CORPORATION (CMCSA 26.33****):We think first anniversary of CMCSA’s acquisition of a 51% stake in a JV with NBC Universal offers a moment for considering one of the most potentially transforming media deals in the post-deregulatory era. On post-integration hindsight, we see a fortuitous deal at what seems like an even more attractive valuation, with NBCU’s solid cable nets, broadcast ads rebound and emerging revenue streams (streaming, retrans), and them parks’ positive surprise. However, NBC programming challenges persist, ample competition for NBC Sports abounds, and content vs. distribution debate lives.”

Schlumberger (SLB) shares are up +13.77% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $69.14 to $78.66.

Kroger (KR) shares are down -2.29% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $24.48 to $23.92 per share.

*Results assume equal dollar amounts purchased in each stock, rounded off to full shares, using the closing share prices on Dec. 23, 2011.

 

2012 Model Portfolio Results: Growth

As of 02/03/12, eight stocks are up and one stock is down.  The total portfolio* is up 9.22%, including dividends earned through 01/31/12.

Harley Davidson (HOG) shares are up the most at +17.66% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $39.19 to $46.11 per share.

Barron’s wrote a brief report on Harley Davison after earnings were reported recently.

Apple (AAPL) shares are up +13.97% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $403.33 to $459.68 per share.

From Citi Investment Research and Analysis, February 2, 2012: “We rate AAPL shares Buy. We believe that Apple remains one of the best ways to play the ongoing digitization of all entertainment content (music, photos and video) because of the company’s superior software for managing, editing, and sharing this content. With iPhone, Apple also gains access to significant incremental growth opportunities in the mobile phone market. Current valuation looks compelling given the significant growth in free cash flow associated with the iPhone and iPad ramps; our DCF analysis suggest a >$600 fair value when assuming modest low- to midsingle-digit growth in FCF during the next 10 years.”

Google (GOOG) shares are down -5.81% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $633.14 to $596.33 per share.

*Results assume equal dollar amounts purchased in each stock, rounded off to full shares, using the closing share prices on Dec. 23, 2011.

 

2012 Model Portfolio Results: Growth & Income

As of 02/03/12, five stocks are up in price and five stocks are down in price.  The total portfolio* is up 2.83%, including dividends earned through 01/31/12.

Prudential (PRU) shares are up the most at +17.58% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $50.92 to $59.87 per share.

Verizon (VZ) shares are down -5.35% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from $39.98 to $37.84 per share.

Verizon is featured in 6 Stable Dividend Stocks That Will Beat Bonds, Seeking Alpha, February 3, 2012.

*Results assume equal dollar amounts purchased in each stock, rounded off to full shares, beginning with the closing share prices on Dec. 23, 2011.

 

Comparable Results of Market Averages

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up +4.62% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from 12,294 to 12,862.

The S&P 500 is up +6.29% from 12/23/11 through 02/03/12; from 1265.33 to 1344.90.

 

Questions?  Contact Crista Huff at research@goodfellowllc.com.

 

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